Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.743487 5.125428 5.546411 6.049483 6.640680 7.321780 8.178681
2025-01-26 4.358717 4.883467 5.503055 6.305570 7.345219 8.691057 10.651548
2025-02-02 4.223919 4.896172 5.744681 6.939576 8.667542 11.256499 15.920652
2025-02-09 3.975660 4.729795 5.732974 7.248302 9.670619 13.885416 23.754298
2025-02-16 3.729386 4.531205 5.645306 7.434656 10.578746 16.992605 38.394513
2025-02-23 3.492541 4.315289 5.499720 7.504070 11.343737 20.577286 72.057276
2025-03-02 3.199635 3.989180 5.147969 7.167426 11.239491 22.153328 123.313463
2025-03-09 3.002809 3.782825 4.953636 7.066909 11.609541 25.745379 609.552495
2025-03-16 2.778449 3.517116 4.637608 6.694333 11.258146 26.660138 NaN
2025-03-23 2.665915 3.408985 4.561567 6.755406 11.983767 33.608693 NaN
2025-03-30 2.541797 3.273164 4.425455 6.676669 12.338329 40.315778 NaN
2025-04-06 2.393964 3.090997 4.195747 6.375927 11.977509 41.912693 NaN
2025-04-13 2.236860 2.897434 3.951977 6.058858 11.618287 44.611810 NaN
2025-04-20 2.189821 2.873072 3.995983 6.356543 13.353364 89.048094 NaN
2025-04-27 2.191649 2.926772 4.185372 7.037836 17.298831 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.145688 2.898558 4.222978 7.386175 20.666702 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.087938 2.845927 4.208199 7.604574 24.042915 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.022685 2.775599 4.150916 7.696945 27.115422 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.925273 2.643714 3.958220 7.359152 26.233777 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.856904 2.558705 3.853664 7.264471 27.602712 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.769485 2.436061 3.663335 6.880867 25.704279 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.726320 2.388860 3.624106 6.950855 28.775273 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.674536 2.323615 3.542018 6.872385 30.254121 NaN NaN